Bayesian analysis offers a robust framework for deciphering the intricate dynamics of time series data. By treating unknown parameters as random variables, this approach incorporates prior information ...

In light of recent global shocks and rising external volatility, there is a growing need to effectively monitor short-term economic fluctuations, especially in countries with limited access to ...

At the time of writing, the details of the US-Iran ceasefire remain unclear. Shipping companies such as Maersk have said they will exercise caution about resuming transit through the Strait of Hormuz.